STANDINGS & PROJECTIONS METHODOLOGY
Standings are sourced directly from NHL.com. Projected Points, Playoff Odds, and Stanley Cup Odds are sourced from the HockeyStats.com game simulation model.
The HockeyStats.com game simulation model uses the same "EV Offense", "EV Defense", "PP Offense", and "PK Defense" components from Wins Above Replacement (WAR) which estimate the impact that each player has on their team's rate of creating scoring chances - measured in Expected Goals (xG) - and also estimates the finishing talent of each shooter, saving talent of each goaltender, and proportion of their team's shots taken by each player, to ultimately measure the rate at which each team will score goals against one another.
Each night, the regular season and playoffs are simulated 1 million times, and the points pace and playoff odds are computed from the empirical averages of these simulations.