NHL ANALYTICS METHODOLOGY

Transparency is core to our mission. Here you'll find detailed explanations of the statistical methodology that powers HockeyStats.com — including WAR (Wins Above Replacement), Expected Goals (xG), and RAPM.

WAR (Wins Above Replacement)

Published

Our comprehensive single-number metric for evaluating NHL player value. WAR combines six components to estimate the total wins a player contributes above a replacement-level player.

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Expected Goals (xG)

Published

Our machine learning model calculates the probability that any unblocked shot becomes a goal, accounting for shot distance, angle, shot type, and pre-shot events.

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RAPM (Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus)

Published

The statistical technique we use to isolate individual player impact from the effects of teammates, opponents, and situational context.

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Win Odds

Published

How we calculate pre-game win probabilities for individual NHL matchups based on team strength, home ice advantage, and other factors.

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