NHL PLAYOFF ODDS (25-26)

Projections and odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated nightly. Team strength is estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated many times. Full playoff odds methodology.

Last Updated: Jan 23, 2026, 2:32 AM PST
View:
Model:
Western Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
PAC
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGKVegas Golden Knights
100
102
100%
16%
0.0%
Edmonton Oilers logo
EDMEdmonton Oilers
91
91
75%
2%
1%
Anaheim Ducks logo
ANAAnaheim Ducks
90
87
45%
0.2%
3%
CEN
Colorado Avalanche logo
COLColorado Avalanche
132
122
100%
20%
0.0%
Minnesota Wild logo
MINMinnesota Wild
106
99
98%
2%
0.1%
Dallas Stars logo
DALDallas Stars
105
102
100%
6%
0.0%
WC
Utah Mammoth logo
UTAUtah Mammoth
92
92
84%
2%
0.7%
Seattle Kraken logo
SEASeattle Kraken
89
83
23%
0.0%
5%
San Jose Sharks logo
S.JSan Jose Sharks
89
87
49%
0.3%
3%
Los Angeles Kings logo
L.ALos Angeles Kings
89
91
71%
2%
1%
Nashville Predators logo
NSHNashville Predators
85
84
24%
0.1%
5%
Chicago Blackhawks logo
CHIChicago Blackhawks
80
78
4%
0.0%
9%
Winnipeg Jets logo
WPGWinnipeg Jets
77
83
19%
0.6%
6%
Calgary Flames logo
CGYCalgary Flames
77
77
3%
0.0%
10%
St. Louis Blues logo
STLSt. Louis Blues
75
79
6%
0.1%
8%
Vancouver Canucks logo
VANVancouver Canucks
64
65
.0%
0.0%
24%
Eastern Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
MET
Carolina Hurricanes logo
CARCarolina Hurricanes
108
104
99%
9%
0.0%
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PITPittsburgh Penguins
100
96
78%
3%
0.2%
New York Islanders logo
NYINew York Islanders
97
89
23%
0.1%
2%
ATL
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
T.BTampa Bay Lightning
113
110
100%
19%
0.0%
Detroit Red Wings logo
DETDetroit Red Wings
106
95
58%
0.3%
0.4%
Montreal Canadiens logo
MTLMontreal Canadiens
101
97
72%
2%
0.2%
WC
Buffalo Sabres logo
BUFBuffalo Sabres
100
97
74%
3%
0.1%
Boston Bruins logo
BOSBoston Bruins
96
93
48%
1%
0.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TORToronto Maple Leafs
93
93
47%
2%
0.6%
Florida Panthers logo
FLAFlorida Panthers
92
92
44%
1%
0.7%
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers
92
89
24%
0.3%
2%
New Jersey Devils logo
N.JNew Jersey Devils
89
93
58%
4%
0.6%
Ottawa Senators logo
OTTOttawa Senators
87
90
24%
0.7%
2%
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets
87
88
19%
0.4%
3%
Washington Capitals logo
WSHWashington Capitals
87
89
32%
2%
1%
New York Rangers logo
NYRNew York Rangers
77
78
.5%
0.0%
9%

IF THE STANLEY CUP PLAYOFFS STARTED TODAY

JANUARY 23, 2026
Stanley Cup

R1

COL logoC1
SEA logoWC2
MIN logoC2
DAL logoC3
VGK logoP1
UTA logoWC1
EDM logoP2
ANA logoP3

R2

WCF

SCF

ECF

R2

R1

CAR logoM1
BUF logoWC1
PIT logoM2
NYI logoM3
T.B logoA1
BOS logoWC2
DET logoA2
MTL logoA3
HOCKEYSTATS.COM

Legend

*If the Stanley Cup Playoffs Started Today

The Stanley Cup Playoffs seeding "if the playoffs started today" uses points pace when teams have played unequal games (with tiebreakers also applied on a per-game basis). This reflects the NHL's behavior when teams have played unequal games, as in the cases of the 2019-2020 COVID season and waiver priority.

Metric Definitions

Points (Pace)
The points a team would earn playing 82 games at exactly their current points percentage. (Rounded to nearest integer).
Points (Proj.)
Projected total points for the full 82-game season based on simulation model.
Playoff Odds
Probability of making the playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
Probability of winning the Stanley Cup.
Pick 1st
Probability of drafting 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Entry Draft.