NHL Playoff Odds (25-26)

Projections and odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated nightly. Team strength is estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated many times. Full playoff odds methodology.

Last Updated: Mar 9, 2026, 4:02 PM PDT
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Model:
Western Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
PAC
Anaheim Ducks logo
ANAAnaheim Ducks
95
93
87%
0.9%
0.4%
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGKVegas Golden Knights
92
94
93%
9%
0.0%
Edmonton Oilers logo
EDMEdmonton Oilers
90
91
79%
5%
0.7%
CEN
Colorado Avalanche logo
COLColorado Avalanche
126
121
100%
17%
0.0%
Dallas Stars logo
DALDallas Stars
115
111
100%
9%
0.0%
Minnesota Wild logo
MINMinnesota Wild
109
106
100%
3%
0.0%
WC
Utah Mammoth logo
UTAUtah Mammoth
94
95
95%
5%
0.1%
San Jose Sharks logo
S.JSan Jose Sharks
89
88
45%
0.4%
2%
Seattle Kraken logo
SEASeattle Kraken
89
86
28%
0.1%
4%
Los Angeles Kings logo
L.ALos Angeles Kings
86
88
44%
0.6%
2%
Nashville Predators logo
NSHNashville Predators
83
83
10%
0.0%
6%
Winnipeg Jets logo
WPGWinnipeg Jets
82
84
15%
0.2%
5%
St. Louis Blues logo
STLSt. Louis Blues
77
80
4%
0.1%
7%
Calgary Flames logo
CGYCalgary Flames
75
74
.1%
0.0%
11%
Chicago Blackhawks logo
CHIChicago Blackhawks
74
74
.0%
0.0%
12%
Vancouver Canucks logo
VANVancouver Canucks
60
61
.0%
0.0%
25%
Eastern Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
MET
Carolina Hurricanes logo
CARCarolina Hurricanes
112
109
100%
10%
0.0%
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PITPittsburgh Penguins
102
98
85%
4%
0.0%
New York Islanders logo
NYINew York Islanders
99
94
52%
0.2%
0.2%
ATL
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
T.BTampa Bay Lightning
108
108
100%
16%
0.0%
Buffalo Sabres logo
BUFBuffalo Sabres
108
105
99%
6%
0.0%
Montreal Canadiens logo
MTLMontreal Canadiens
103
100
86%
2%
0.0%
WC
Detroit Red Wings logo
DETDetroit Red Wings
101
96
62%
0.4%
0.0%
Boston Bruins logo
BOSBoston Bruins
99
96
60%
1%
0.1%
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets
96
95
58%
2%
0.2%
Ottawa Senators logo
OTTOttawa Senators
94
96
63%
6%
0.0%
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers
91
90
16%
0.2%
1%
Washington Capitals logo
WSHWashington Capitals
88
89
12%
0.5%
1%
Florida Panthers logo
FLAFlorida Panthers
85
86
3%
0.1%
3%
New Jersey Devils logo
N.JNew Jersey Devils
85
86
3%
0.1%
3%
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TORToronto Maple Leafs
83
84
.4%
0.0%
5%
New York Rangers logo
NYRNew York Rangers
74
76
.0%
0.0%
10%