NHL PLAYOFF ODDS (25-26)

Projections and odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated nightly. Team strength is estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated many times. Full playoff odds methodology.

Last Updated: Feb 2, 2026, 1:46 PM PST
View:
Model:
Western Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
PAC
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGKVegas Golden Knights
95
97
96%
10%
0.0%
Edmonton Oilers logo
EDMEdmonton Oilers
94
92
80%
3%
0.7%
Seattle Kraken logo
SEASeattle Kraken
93
87
42%
0.2%
3%
CEN
Colorado Avalanche logo
COLColorado Avalanche
125
120
100%
20%
0.0%
Dallas Stars logo
DALDallas Stars
109
106
100%
9%
0.0%
Minnesota Wild logo
MINMinnesota Wild
108
102
100%
3%
0.0%
WC
Los Angeles Kings logo
L.ALos Angeles Kings
91
91
68%
1%
1%
Anaheim Ducks logo
ANAAnaheim Ducks
91
90
63%
0.9%
2%
San Jose Sharks logo
S.JSan Jose Sharks
90
88
44%
0.3%
3%
Utah Mammoth logo
UTAUtah Mammoth
89
91
75%
3%
0.9%
Nashville Predators logo
NSHNashville Predators
85
84
17%
0.1%
5%
Winnipeg Jets logo
WPGWinnipeg Jets
77
83
14%
0.4%
5%
Chicago Blackhawks logo
CHIChicago Blackhawks
76
76
.7%
0.0%
12%
Calgary Flames logo
CGYCalgary Flames
76
76
.9%
0.0%
10%
St. Louis Blues logo
STLSt. Louis Blues
73
75
.7%
0.0%
11%
Vancouver Canucks logo
VANVancouver Canucks
63
64
.0%
0.0%
24%
Eastern Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
MET
Carolina Hurricanes logo
CARCarolina Hurricanes
110
106
99%
7%
0.0%
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PITPittsburgh Penguins
104
99
90%
5%
0.1%
New York Islanders logo
NYINew York Islanders
97
89
25%
0.1%
2%
ATL
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
T.BTampa Bay Lightning
114
110
100%
16%
0.0%
Montreal Canadiens logo
MTLMontreal Canadiens
103
99
82%
2%
0.1%
Detroit Red Wings logo
DETDetroit Red Wings
103
95
58%
0.6%
0.3%
WC
Buffalo Sabres logo
BUFBuffalo Sabres
102
99
88%
7%
0.0%
Boston Bruins logo
BOSBoston Bruins
100
95
62%
1%
0.2%
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets
93
92
46%
1%
0.8%
Florida Panthers logo
FLAFlorida Panthers
90
90
23%
0.6%
0.0%
Ottawa Senators logo
OTTOttawa Senators
90
93
42%
3%
0.0%
Washington Capitals logo
WSHWashington Capitals
89
91
36%
2%
1%
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers
88
86
9%
0.1%
4%
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TORToronto Maple Leafs
88
90
20%
1%
2%
New Jersey Devils logo
N.JNew Jersey Devils
86
88
19%
0.6%
2%
New York Rangers logo
NYRNew York Rangers
73
76
.1%
0.0%
11%

IF THE STANLEY CUP PLAYOFFS STARTED TODAY

FEBRUARY 2, 2026
Stanley Cup

R1

COL logoC1
ANA logoWC2
DAL logoC2
MIN logoC3
VGK logoP1
L.A logoWC1
EDM logoP2
SEA logoP3

R2

WCF

SCF

ECF

R2

R1

CAR logoM1
BUF logoWC1
PIT logoM2
NYI logoM3
T.B logoA1
BOS logoWC2
MTL logoA2
DET logoA3
HOCKEYSTATS.COM

Legend

*If the Stanley Cup Playoffs Started Today

The Stanley Cup Playoffs seeding "if the playoffs started today" uses points pace when teams have played unequal games (with tiebreakers also applied on a per-game basis). This reflects the NHL's behavior when teams have played unequal games, as in the cases of the 2019-2020 COVID season and waiver priority.

Metric Definitions

Points (Pace)
The points a team would earn playing 82 games at exactly their current points percentage. (Rounded to nearest integer).
Points (Proj.)
Projected total points for the full 82-game season based on simulation model.
Playoff Odds
Probability of making the playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
Probability of winning the Stanley Cup.
Pick 1st
Probability of drafting 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Entry Draft.

PLAYOFF ODDS

Charts use the projection model selected above: HockeyStats.com

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