Tampa Bay Lightning
Playoff Chances &
Analytics
35 - 14 - 4 (1st in Atlantic)
Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds:100%
Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Odds:16%
Tampa Bay Lightning Projected Points:110
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 1 Odds:68%
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 2 Odds:44%
Tampa Bay Lightning Make Cup Finals Odds:28%
Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds: 100%
Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Odds: 16%
Tampa Bay Lightning Projected Points: 110
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 1 Odds: 68%
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 2 Odds: 44%
Tampa Bay Lightning Make Cup Finals Odds: 28%
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds: 100%
Tampa Bay Lightning Stanley Cup Odds: 16%
Tampa Bay Lightning Projected Points: 110
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 1 Odds: 68%
Tampa Bay Lightning Win Round 2 Odds: 44%
Tampa Bay Lightning Make Cup Finals Odds: 28%
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated nightly. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated many times. Full playoff odds methodology here.
Last Updated: Feb 2, 2026, 3:16 PM PST
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TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS NHL: ANALYTICS COMPARISON
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