Toronto Maple Leafs
Playoff Odds

Proj. Pts

92

Playoff %

36%

▲3%

Toronto Maple Leafs Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities

Outcome	Probability
Draft 1st Overall	0.1%
Miss Playoffs	64.1%
Lose Round 1	22.2%
Lose Round 2	8.5%
Lose Round 3	3.2%
Lose SCF	1.2%
Win Cup	0.8%

• Draft 1st Overall
• Miss Playoffs
• Lose Round 1
• Lose Round 2
• Lose Round 3
• Lose SCF
• Win Cup

• Draft 1st Overall
• Miss Playoffs
• Lose Round 1
• Lose Round 2
• Lose Round 3
• Lose SCF
• Win Cup

Maple Leafs Round 1 Matchup Odds

🏌️

64%

9%

9%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

Toronto Maple Leafs Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities

Opponent	Probability
miss_playoffs	64.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning	8.9%
Florida Panthers	8.9%
Buffalo Sabres	3.3%
Ottawa Senators	3.1%
Carolina Hurricanes	2.5%
Pittsburgh Penguins	1.7%
New Jersey Devils	1.6%
Montreal Canadiens	1.5%
Boston Bruins	1.3%
New York Rangers	1.2%
Washington Capitals	0.8%
Columbus Blue Jackets	0.4%
Philadelphia Flyers	0.3%
Detroit Red Wings	0.2%
New York Islanders	0.1%

The Toronto Maple Leafs have a 36% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 10th in East. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (9% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a <1% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.