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Buffalo Sabres
Playoff Odds

Proj. Pts
95
Playoff %
57%
Buffalo Sabres Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities
OutcomeProbability
Draft 1st Overall1.0%
Miss Playoffs42.6%
Lose Round 130.6%
Lose Round 214.7%
Lose Round 36.4%
Lose SCF3.0%
Win Cup2.7%
  • Draft 1st Overall
  • Miss Playoffs
  • Lose Round 1
  • Lose Round 2
  • Lose Round 3
  • Lose SCF
  • Win Cup

Sabres Round 1 Matchup Odds

🏌️
43%
T.B
13%
FLA
13%
OTT
5%
TOR
5%
MTL
4%
BOS
3%
CAR
3%
N.J
3%
PIT
3%
NYR
1%
WSH
1%
PHI
1%
CBJ
1%
DET
1%
NYI
<1%
Buffalo Sabres Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities
OpponentProbability
miss_playoffs42.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning12.8%
Florida Panthers12.8%
Ottawa Senators5.3%
Toronto Maple Leafs5.3%
Montreal Canadiens3.6%
Boston Bruins3.3%
Carolina Hurricanes2.9%
New Jersey Devils2.6%
Pittsburgh Penguins2.6%
New York Rangers1.5%
Washington Capitals1.4%
Philadelphia Flyers1.3%
Columbus Blue Jackets1.0%
Detroit Red Wings0.7%
New York Islanders0.3%

The Buffalo Sabres have a 57% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (13% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 3% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.

2026-27 projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from the HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 15 minutes as offseason moves happen. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 100K times. See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.

Last Updated: Jul 16, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

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