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Pittsburgh Penguins
Playoff Odds

Proj. Pts
100
Playoff %
73%
Pittsburgh Penguins Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities
OutcomeProbability
Draft 1st Overall0.5%
Miss Playoffs26.9%
Lose Round 134.4%
Lose Round 218.7%
Lose Round 310.2%
Lose SCF5.0%
Win Cup4.7%
  • Draft 1st Overall
  • Miss Playoffs
  • Lose Round 1
  • Lose Round 2
  • Lose Round 3
  • Lose SCF
  • Win Cup

Penguins Round 1 Matchup Odds

🏌️
27%
CAR
13%
N.J
12%
NYR
11%
WSH
8%
CBJ
5%
FLA
4%
T.B
4%
PHI
4%
BUF
2%
OTT
2%
NYI
2%
TOR
2%
MTL
2%
BOS
1%
DET
<1%
Pittsburgh Penguins Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities
OpponentProbability
miss_playoffs26.9%
Carolina Hurricanes13.4%
New Jersey Devils12.3%
New York Rangers10.8%
Washington Capitals8.3%
Columbus Blue Jackets4.6%
Florida Panthers4.5%
Tampa Bay Lightning4.0%
Philadelphia Flyers3.8%
Buffalo Sabres2.3%
Ottawa Senators2.1%
New York Islanders1.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs1.7%
Montreal Canadiens1.5%
Boston Bruins1.4%
Detroit Red Wings0.3%

The Pittsburgh Penguins have a 73% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Carolina Hurricanes (13% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 5% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.

See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.

Last Updated: Oct 7, 2026, 8:30 AM ET

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