Washington Capitals
Playoff Odds

Proj. Pts

95

Playoff %

52%

Washington Capitals Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities

Outcome	Probability
Draft 1st Overall	1.4%
Miss Playoffs	48.3%
Lose Round 1	28.6%
Lose Round 2	12.9%
Lose Round 3	5.9%
Lose SCF	2.5%
Win Cup	1.8%

• Draft 1st Overall
• Miss Playoffs
• Lose Round 1
• Lose Round 2
• Lose Round 3
• Lose SCF
• Win Cup

• Draft 1st Overall
• Miss Playoffs
• Lose Round 1
• Lose Round 2
• Lose Round 3
• Lose SCF
• Win Cup

Capitals Round 1 Matchup Odds

🏌️

48%

10%

8%

8%

7%

4%

4%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

Washington Capitals Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities

Opponent	Probability
miss_playoffs	48.3%
Carolina Hurricanes	9.7%
Pittsburgh Penguins	8.3%
New Jersey Devils	8.2%
New York Rangers	6.9%
Florida Panthers	4.4%
Tampa Bay Lightning	3.7%
Columbus Blue Jackets	2.6%
Philadelphia Flyers	2.1%
Buffalo Sabres	1.3%
Ottawa Senators	1.2%
New York Islanders	1.0%
Toronto Maple Leafs	0.8%
Montreal Canadiens	0.7%
Boston Bruins	0.6%
Detroit Red Wings	0.1%

The Washington Capitals have a 52% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 2nd East Wild Card. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Carolina Hurricanes (10% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 2% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.