Montreal Canadiens
Cup Chances
Points
106
Cup Odds
2%
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lose Round 2 | 75.4% |
| Lose Round 3 | 18.0% |
| Lose SCF | 4.4% |
| Win Cup | 2.1% |
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Round 1 Outcome Probabilities
The Montreal Canadiens currently have a 2% chance of winning the Stanley Cup. They face the Tampa Bay Lightning in the first round, and have a 0% chance of winning this matchup.
Projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 5 minutes. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 300K times. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
Last Updated: May 7, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
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