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Montreal Canadiens
Playoff Chances

Proj. Pts
107
Playoff %
100%
Montreal Canadiens Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities
OutcomeProbability
Lose Round 170.7%
Lose Round 216.5%
Lose Round 37.6%
Lose SCF3.3%
Win Cup1.8%
  • Lose Round 1
  • Lose Round 2
  • Lose Round 3
  • Lose SCF
  • Win Cup

Canadiens Round 1 Matchup Odds

T.B
>99%
Montreal Canadiens Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities
OpponentProbability
Tampa Bay Lightning100.0%

The Montreal Canadiens currently have a >99% chance of making the Stanley Cup Playoffs, ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division with a record of 48-23-10. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (>99% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 2% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.

Projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 5 minutes. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 300K times. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.

Last Updated: Apr 14, 2026, 2:35 AM EST

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