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Montreal Canadiens
Playoff Odds

Proj. Pts
92
Playoff %
35%
Montreal Canadiens Projected Playoff Outcome Probabilities
OutcomeProbability
Draft 1st Overall2.4%
Miss Playoffs64.7%
Lose Round 122.1%
Lose Round 28.3%
Lose Round 33.0%
Lose SCF1.2%
Win Cup0.7%
  • Draft 1st Overall
  • Miss Playoffs
  • Lose Round 1
  • Lose Round 2
  • Lose Round 3
  • Lose SCF
  • Win Cup

Canadiens Round 1 Matchup Odds

🏌️
65%
T.B
9%
FLA
8%
OTT
4%
BUF
3%
CAR
2%
N.J
2%
PIT
2%
TOR
2%
BOS
1%
NYR
1%
WSH
1%
CBJ
<1%
PHI
<1%
DET
<1%
NYI
<1%
Montreal Canadiens Round 1 Playoff Matchup Probabilities
OpponentProbability
miss_playoffs64.7%
Tampa Bay Lightning8.5%
Florida Panthers8.5%
Ottawa Senators3.6%
Buffalo Sabres3.1%
Carolina Hurricanes2.1%
New Jersey Devils1.9%
Pittsburgh Penguins1.8%
Toronto Maple Leafs1.6%
Boston Bruins1.2%
New York Rangers1.1%
Washington Capitals0.8%
Columbus Blue Jackets0.4%
Philadelphia Flyers0.3%
Detroit Red Wings0.2%
New York Islanders0.1%

The Montreal Canadiens have a 35% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 10th in East. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (9% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a <1% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.

See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.

Last Updated: Oct 6, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

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