Montreal Canadiens
Playoff Odds
Proj. Pts
92
Playoff %
35%
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draft 1st Overall | 2.4% |
| Miss Playoffs | 64.7% |
| Lose Round 1 | 22.1% |
| Lose Round 2 | 8.3% |
| Lose Round 3 | 3.0% |
| Lose SCF | 1.2% |
| Win Cup | 0.7% |
- Draft 1st Overall
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Draft 1st Overall
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Canadiens Round 1 Matchup Odds
🏌️
65%
9%
8%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
| Opponent | Probability |
|---|---|
| miss_playoffs | 64.7% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 8.5% |
| Florida Panthers | 8.5% |
| Ottawa Senators | 3.6% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 3.1% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 2.1% |
| New Jersey Devils | 1.9% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.8% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.6% |
| Boston Bruins | 1.2% |
| New York Rangers | 1.1% |
| Washington Capitals | 0.8% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 0.4% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0.3% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.2% |
| New York Islanders | 0.1% |
The Montreal Canadiens have a 35% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 10th in East. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (9% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a <1% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.
See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
Last Updated: Oct 6, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Loading team data...
Team Cards
🔒
Current Season Team Card
Unlock team cards with the Above-Replacement Tier ($5/mo.)
Unlock Team Cards
Get access to current season team cards with detailed performance metrics and visualizations.
$5/month
Current tier: Not signed in