Dallas Stars
Playoff Odds
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draft 1st Overall | 0.2% |
| Miss Playoffs | 7.3% |
| Lose Round 1 | 36.2% |
| Lose Round 2 | 24.3% |
| Lose Round 3 | 13.2% |
| Lose SCF | 8.7% |
| Win Cup | 10.3% |
- Draft 1st Overall
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Draft 1st Overall
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Stars Round 1 Matchup Odds
| Opponent | Probability |
|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild | 19.7% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 16.9% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 13.0% |
| Utah Mammoth | 9.7% |
| Nashville Predators | 8.8% |
| miss_playoffs | 7.3% |
| St Louis Blues | 6.9% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 4.4% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 3.9% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 2.8% |
| San Jose Sharks | 2.3% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 2.2% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.9% |
| Seattle Kraken | 0.6% |
| Calgary Flames | 0.4% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.1% |
The Dallas Stars have a 93% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 2nd in the Central Division. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Minnesota Wild (20% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 10% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.
2026-27 projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from the HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 15 minutes as offseason moves happen. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 100K times. See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
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