Ottawa Senators
Playoff Odds
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Miss Playoffs | 55.2% |
| Lose Round 1 | 25.8% |
| Lose Round 2 | 11.3% |
| Lose Round 3 | 4.5% |
| Lose SCF | 1.8% |
| Win Cup | 1.3% |
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Senators Round 1 Matchup Odds
| Opponent | Probability |
|---|---|
| miss_playoffs | 55.2% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 10.5% |
| Florida Panthers | 10.3% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 4.5% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.3% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 2.7% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 2.6% |
| Boston Bruins | 2.5% |
| New Jersey Devils | 2.1% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 2.0% |
| New York Rangers | 1.1% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 1.0% |
| Washington Capitals | 0.8% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 0.7% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.5% |
| New York Islanders | 0.2% |
The Ottawa Senators have a 45% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 9th in East. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning (11% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 1% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.
2026-27 projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from the HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 15 minutes as offseason moves happen. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 100K times. See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
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