Vegas Golden Knights
Playoff Odds
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Miss Playoffs | 12.2% |
| Lose Round 1 | 36.0% |
| Lose Round 2 | 23.9% |
| Lose Round 3 | 14.3% |
| Lose SCF | 7.1% |
| Win Cup | 6.5% |
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Miss Playoffs
- Lose Round 1
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Golden Knights Round 1 Matchup Odds
| Opponent | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Kings | 19.6% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 12.8% |
| miss_playoffs | 12.2% |
| San Jose Sharks | 11.1% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 9.4% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 5.6% |
| Minnesota Wild | 4.9% |
| Utah Mammoth | 4.8% |
| Nashville Predators | 4.4% |
| Dallas Stars | 3.9% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 3.8% |
| St Louis Blues | 3.6% |
| Seattle Kraken | 2.1% |
| Calgary Flames | 1.1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.5% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.3% |
The Vegas Golden Knights have a 88% chance of making the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Playoffs, projected to finish 2nd in the Pacific Division. Their most likely 1st round opponent is the Los Angeles Kings (20% chance of this particular matchup) and they have a 7% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.
2026-27 projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from the HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 15 minutes as offseason moves happen. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 100K times. See how trades and signings change these odds in the Roster Builder. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
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