Vegas Golden Knights
Cup Chances
Points
95
Cup Odds
20%
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lose Round 2 | 17.8% |
| Lose Round 3 | 42.4% |
| Lose SCF | 20.0% |
| Win Cup | 19.8% |
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
- Lose Round 2
- Lose Round 3
- Lose SCF
- Win Cup
Round 1 Outcome Probabilities
The Vegas Golden Knights currently have a 20% chance of winning the Stanley Cup. They face the Utah Mammoth in the first round, and have a 0% chance of winning this matchup.
Projections, playoff odds, and Stanley Cup odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated every 5 minutes. Team strength estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 300K times. Full playoff odds page here. Methodology here.
Last Updated: May 6, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Loading team data...
Team Cards
🔒
Current Season Team Card
Unlock team cards with the Above-Replacement Tier ($5/mo.)
Unlock Team Cards
Get access to current season team cards with detailed performance metrics and visualizations.
$5/month
Current tier: Not signed in