2025-2026 NHL STANDINGS PROJECTIONS & PLAYOFF ODDS

Projections and playoff/Cup odds from the TopDownHockey simulation model. Team strength is estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 1M times. Full methodology.

Last Updated: Oct 19, 2018, 6:46 PM PST
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Current 2025-2026 NHL standings, along with projections from TopDownHockey game simulation model.
Team
W
L
OTL
P
P%
RW
ROW
Points(Pace)
Points(Projected)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
PAC
VGK logo
VGK1661042.6561215
108
104
99%
10%
ANA logo
ANA2012242.6181216
101
93
79%
1%
L.A logo
L.A1510939.5741014
94
92
71%
1%
CEN
COL logo
COL242755.8332224
137
119
100%
21%
DAL logo
DAL237551.7291920
119
108
100%
9%
MIN logo
MIN219547.6711518
110
96
88%
0.9%
WC
EDM logo
EDM1712640.5711217
94
96
90%
5%
S.J logo
S.J1715337.529916
87
80
11%
0.0%
UTA logo
UTA1716337.5141317
84
91
66%
3%
WPG logo
WPG1516232.4851314
80
89
54%
2%
STL logo
STL1315834.4721313
77
82
17%
0.2%
CHI logo
CHI1315632.4711213
77
78
6%
0.0%
SEA logo
SEA1214630.469712
77
74
2%
0.0%
CGY logo
CGY1417432.4571112
75
79
8%
0.1%
NSH logo
NSH1316430.455911
75
78
6%
0.0%
VAN logo
VAN1317329.439911
72
77
4%
0.0%
Current 2025-2026 NHL standings, along with projections from TopDownHockey game simulation model.
Team
W
L
OTL
P
P%
RW
ROW
Points(Pace)
Points(Projected)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
MET
CAR logo
CAR229246.6971418
114
108
99%
14%
WSH logo
WSH1911442.6181819
101
103
97%
14%
PHI logo
PHI1710640.6061012
99
88
32%
0.2%
ATL
MTL logo
MTL1812440.5881116
96
90
47%
0.8%
DET logo
DET1913341.5861517
96
92
57%
2%
FLA logo
FLA1813238.5761617
94
90
51%
1%
WC
NYI logo
NYI1912341.6031316
99
88
35%
0.2%
T.B logo
T.B1813339.5741518
94
96
82%
6%
N.J logo
N.J1914139.5741216
94
92
58%
1%
BOS logo
BOS2015040.5711418
94
88
36%
0.5%
PIT logo
PIT1410937.5611314
92
90
48%
1%
OTT logo
OTT1613436.5451113
89
88
35%
0.6%
TOR logo
TOR1513535.5301115
87
87
28%
0.6%
NYR logo
NYR1715438.5281116
87
82
8%
0.0%
BUF logo
BUF1514434.5151113
84
92
62%
4%
CBJ logo
CBJ1414634.500710
82
87
26%
0.6%

Metric Legend

Current Season Standings

W: Wins
L: Losses
OTL: Overtime Losses
P: Points (2 for win, 1 for OTL)
P%: Points Percentage (points earned / points possible)
RW: Regulation Wins
ROW: Regulation/Overtime Wins (tiebreaker)

Projection Metrics

Points (Pace): Current points pace projection based on games played so far this season. Color-coded: red (low) to blue (high).
Points (Projected): Projected total points for the full season based on the simulation model. Color-coded: red (low) to blue (high).
Playoff Odds: Probability of making the playoffs (percentage). Color-coded: red (low probability) to blue (high probability).
Stanley Cup Odds: Probability of winning the Stanley Cup Finals (percentage). Color-coded: red (low probability) to blue (high probability).

Note: Color coding for probability metrics uses a gradient from red (low probability) through dark gray/blue (mid-range) to blue (high probability). The specific color scales vary by metric to best represent the expected range of values.

PLAYOFF OUTCOME PROBABILITIES

Charts use the projection model selected above: hockeystats.com

Win Cup
Make SCF
Win Round 2
Win Round 1
Make Playoffs

Western Conference

Eastern Conference

PLAYOFF LEVERAGE

Current Playoff Probability
% If Lose
Next Game
NHL
% If Win
Next Game