OLYMPIC HOCKEY MEDAL ODDS
Odds are computed by simulating the entire tournament using the HockeyStats.com model. NHL player impact is projected via standard method; non-NHL player impact is estimated through NHLe.
| Country | Group | QF | SF |  |  |  | Medal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Canada | A | 100% | 100% | 51% | 49% | 0% | 100% |
 | United States | C | 100% | 100% | 49% | 51% | 0% | 100% |
 | Finland | B | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
 | Czechia | A | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Denmark | C | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | France | A | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Germany | C | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Italy | B | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Latvia | C | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Switzerland | A | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Slovakia | B | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 | Sweden | B | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
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2026 Olympic Hockey Medal Odds Summary
Canada has a 50.9% chance of winning gold and a 100.0% chance of medaling. United States has a 49.1% chance of winning gold and a 100.0% chance of medaling. Czechia has a 0.0% chance of winning gold and a 0.0% chance of medaling.
Canada Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 50.9%, Silver 49.1%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 100.0%
United States Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 49.1%, Silver 50.9%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 100.0%
Czechia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Denmark Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Finland Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 100.0%, Any Medal 100.0%
France Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Germany Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Italy Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Latvia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Switzerland Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Slovakia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%
Sweden Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.0%, Any Medal 0.0%