2026 OLYMPIC HOCKEY MEDAL ODDS

Odds are computed by simulating the entire tournament using the HockeyStats.com model. NHL player impact is projected via standard method; non-NHL player impact is estimated through NHLe.

Model:
View:
CountryGroup
Gold
Silver
Bronze
Medal
Canada
CanadaA
35%
23%
18%
76%
United States
United StatesC
33%
24%
18%
75%
Sweden
SwedenB
17%
21%
21%
59%
Finland
FinlandB
9%
16%
18%
44%
Czechia
CzechiaA
2%
5%
7%
14%
Germany
GermanyC
1%
4%
5%
10%
Switzerland
SwitzerlandA
1%
4%
5%
10%
Slovakia
SlovakiaB
0.4%
1%
3%
5%
Denmark
DenmarkC
0.2%
2%
2%
4%
Latvia
LatviaC
0.1%
0.9%
2%
2%
France
FranceA
0.0%
0.2%
0.3%
0.5%
Italy
ItalyB
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%

2026 Olympic Hockey Medal Odds Summary

Canada has a 35.3% chance of winning gold and a 75.8% chance of medaling. United States has a 33.4% chance of winning gold and a 75.0% chance of medaling. Sweden has a 17.2% chance of winning gold and a 59.0% chance of medaling.

Canada Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 35.3%, Silver 22.5%, Bronze 17.9%, Any Medal 75.8%

United States Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 33.4%, Silver 23.7%, Bronze 17.9%, Any Medal 75.0%

Sweden Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 17.2%, Silver 20.9%, Bronze 20.9%, Any Medal 59.0%

Finland Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 9.4%, Silver 16.4%, Bronze 18.5%, Any Medal 44.2%

Czechia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 1.6%, Silver 5.0%, Bronze 6.8%, Any Medal 13.5%

Germany Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 1.3%, Silver 3.5%, Bronze 5.3%, Any Medal 10.2%

Switzerland Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 1.1%, Silver 3.9%, Bronze 5.3%, Any Medal 10.2%

Slovakia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.4%, Silver 1.5%, Bronze 2.9%, Any Medal 4.8%

Denmark Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.2%, Silver 1.5%, Bronze 2.5%, Any Medal 4.2%

Latvia Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.1%, Silver 0.9%, Bronze 1.5%, Any Medal 2.5%

France Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.2%, Bronze 0.3%, Any Medal 0.5%

Italy Olympic Hockey Odds: Gold 0.0%, Silver 0.0%, Bronze 0.1%, Any Medal 0.2%