NHL PLAYOFF PICTURE (25-26)

Projections and odds from HockeyStats.com simulation model, updated nightly. Team strength is estimated from player WAR (used in JFresh Player Cards), then season and playoffs simulated 1M times. Full playoff odds methodology.

Last Updated: Dec 27, 2025, 11:11 AM PST
View:
Model:
Western Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
PAC
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGKVegas Golden Knights
103
103
100%
13%
0.0%
Anaheim Ducks logo
ANAAnaheim Ducks
98
91
78%
1%
0.9%
Edmonton Oilers logo
EDMEdmonton Oilers
95
94
89%
3%
0.4%
CEN
Colorado Avalanche logo
COLColorado Avalanche
139
121
100%
22%
0.0%
Dallas Stars logo
DALDallas Stars
121
109
100%
8%
0.0%
Minnesota Wild logo
MINMinnesota Wild
108
97
95%
1%
0.1%
WC
Los Angeles Kings logo
L.ALos Angeles Kings
89
89
63%
1.0%
2%
Seattle Kraken logo
SEASeattle Kraken
84
78
10%
0.0%
10%
Utah Mammoth logo
UTAUtah Mammoth
82
87
55%
1%
2%
Nashville Predators logo
NSHNashville Predators
82
81
18%
0.0%
7%
San Jose Sharks logo
S.JSan Jose Sharks
82
78
8%
0.0%
11%
St. Louis Blues logo
STLSt. Louis Blues
78
81
20%
0.2%
7%
Winnipeg Jets logo
WPGWinnipeg Jets
77
85
42%
0.8%
4%
Calgary Flames logo
CGYCalgary Flames
75
78
10%
0.1%
9%
Vancouver Canucks logo
VANVancouver Canucks
75
78
10%
0.0%
10%
Chicago Blackhawks logo
CHIChicago Blackhawks
73
75
4%
0.0%
13%
Eastern Conference
Team
Points(Pace)
Points(Proj.)
PlayoffOdds
StanleyCupOdds
Pick1st
MET
Carolina Hurricanes logo
CARCarolina Hurricanes
107
103
97%
11%
0.0%
Philadelphia Flyers logo
PHIPhiladelphia Flyers
103
90
38%
0.2%
2%
New York Islanders logo
NYINew York Islanders
98
88
31%
0.1%
2%
ATL
Detroit Red Wings logo
DETDetroit Red Wings
101
92
54%
0.6%
0.9%
Montreal Canadiens logo
MTLMontreal Canadiens
100
92
55%
1%
0.8%
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
T.BTampa Bay Lightning
98
102
96%
15%
0.0%
WC
Florida Panthers logo
FLAFlorida Panthers
96
92
55%
1%
1%
Washington Capitals logo
WSHWashington Capitals
95
98
85%
8%
0.2%
Ottawa Senators logo
OTTOttawa Senators
93
90
43%
0.8%
1%
Buffalo Sabres logo
BUFBuffalo Sabres
91
93
61%
3%
0.7%
New Jersey Devils logo
N.JNew Jersey Devils
91
94
68%
3%
0.5%
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PITPittsburgh Penguins
89
89
34%
0.7%
2%
Boston Bruins logo
BOSBoston Bruins
88
86
20%
0.2%
3%
New York Rangers logo
NYRNew York Rangers
88
85
17%
0.1%
4%
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TORToronto Maple Leafs
84
88
30%
0.9%
3%
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
CBJColumbus Blue Jackets
82
86
18%
0.4%
4%

Metric Definitions

Projection Metrics

Points (Pace)
The points a team would earn playing 82 games at exactly their current points percentage. (Rounded to nearest integer).
Points (Proj.)
Projected total points for the full 82-game season based on simulation model.

Note: Playoff picture uses Points Pace when teams have played unequal games (with tiebreakers also applied on a per-game basis), which reflects the NHL's behavior.

Playoff Odds
Probability of making the playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
Probability of winning the Stanley Cup.
Pick 1st
Probability of drafting 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Entry Draft.

Charts use the projection model selected above: HockeyStats.com

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